2026
From intraday orderbook to imbalance price: Understanding cross-market interaction
Preprint (arXiv:2609.37903)
Open preprint Preprint
Publications
Journal articles, conference papers and preprints
2026
Learning to fix: Optimisation-aware machine learning for accelerated unit commitment
Preprint (arXiv:2609.39396)
Open preprint Preprint
2026
Stabilizing distribution-free probabilistic forecasts
Preprint (arXiv:2605.28531)
Open preprint Preprint
2026
Towards replication-robust analytics markets
INFORMS Journal on Data Science, in press
Publisher page Open preprint In press
2026
How to purchase labels? A cost-effective approach using active learning markets
INFORMS Journal on Data Science, in press
Open preprint In press
2026
Value-oriented forecast reconciliation for renewables in electricity markets
European Journal of Operational Research 332(2), pp. 492-504
2025
Synergies between AI computing and power systems: Metrics, scheduling, and resilience
IEEE Energy Sustainability Magazine, in press
In press
2025
Seamless and multi-resolution energy forecasting
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 16(1), pp. 383-395
2025
Privacy-aware data acquisition under data similarity in regression markets
IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems
2025
2025
Predict-and-optimize robust unit commitment with statistical guarantees via weight combination
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, in press
Publisher page In press
2025
Pooling probabilistic forecasts for cooperative wind power offering
Preprint, under review
Open preprint Preprint
2025
Load forecasting model trading: A cost-oriented and auction-based approach
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, in press
In press
2025
Inverse game theory: An incenter-based approach
34th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI 2025), pp. 3805-3813
2025
Integrated optimization of operations and capacity planning under uncertainty for drayage procurement in container logistics
Preprint, under review
Preprint
2025
How long is long enough? Finite-horizon approximation of energy storage scheduling problems
Preprint, under review
Open preprint Preprint
2025
Generalizable simulation framework for the request-to-order process in the procurement of onboard vessel requisitions
Preprint, under review
Preprint
2025
Fairness by design in shared-energy allocation problems
Computational Management Science, in press
In press
2025
2025
Data are missing again -- Reconstruction of power generation data using k-Nearest Neighbors and spectral graph theory
Wind Energy 28(1), art. no. 2962
2025
A negotiation-based incentive mechanism for efficient transmission expansion planning considering generation investment equilibrium in deregulated environment
Applied Energy, in press
In press
2025
A causal analysis of balancing costs in the UK electricity market
Preprint, under review
Preprint
2024
Wind energy forecasting with missing values within a fully conditional specification framework
International Journal of Forecasting 40(1), pp. 77-95
2024
Strategic coalition for data pricing in IoT data markets
IEEE Internet of Things Journal 11(4), pp. 6454-6468
2024
Robust generation dispatch with purchase of renewable power and load predictions
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 15(3), pp. 1486-1501
2024
On tracking varying bounds when forecasting bounded time series
Technometrics 66(4), pp. 651-661
2024
On the efficiency of energy markets with non-merchant storage
Energy Systems, in press
Open preprint In press
2024
Data-driven at sea: Forecasting and revenue management at Molslinjen
INFORMS Journal on Applied Analytics (invited; INFORMS Edelman Award 2024 winner)
2024
CRPS-based online learning for nonlinear probabilistic forecast combination
International Journal of Forecasting 40(4), pp. 1449-1466
2024
Convolutional encoding and normalizing flows: a deep learning approach for offshore wind speed probabilistic forecasting in the Mediterranean Sea
Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems 3(3)
2024
2024
A market for trading forecasts: A wagering mechanism
International Journal of Forecasting 40(1), pp. 142-159
2023
What may future electricity markets look like?
Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy 11(3), pp. 698-706 (invited)
2023
Privacy-preserving convex optimization: When differential privacy meets stochastic programming
Preprint, under review
Open preprint Preprint
2023
P2P market coordination methodologies with distribution grid management
Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks 34, art. no. 101075
2023
Online decision-making for trading wind energy
Computational Management Science 20, art. no. 33
2023
2023
On machine learning-based techniques for future sustainable and resilient energy systems
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 14(2), pp. 1230-1243
2023
Moving from linear to conic markets for electricity
European Journal of Operational Research 309(2), pp. 762-783
2023
Fair and scalable electric vehicle charging under electrical grid constraints
IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems 24(12), pp. 15169-15177
2023
Distributionally robust trading strategies for renewable energy producers
IEEE Transactions on Energy Markets, Policy and Regulation 1(1), pp. 37-47
2023
Chance-constrained economic dispatch of generic energy storage under decision-dependent uncertainty
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 14(4), pp. 2234-2248
2022
Variable heat pricing to steer the flexibility of heat demand response in district heating systems
Electric Power Systems Research 212, art. no. 108383
2022
Trading data for wind power forecasting: A regression market with Lasso regularization
Electric Power Systems Research 212, art. no. 108442
2022
To share or not to share? Alternative views on a future of collaborative forecasting
Foresight 67, pp. 8-15
2022
Stochastic control and pricing for natural gas networks
IEEE Transactions on Control of Network Systems 9(1), pp. 450-462
2022
Reliability-aware probabilistic reserve procurement
Electric Power Systems Research 212, art. no. 108345
2022
2022
Pandemics and forecasting: The way forward through the Taleb-Ioannidis debate
International Journal of Forecasting 38(2), pp. 410-412
2022
North Sea energy islands: Impact on national markets and grids
Energy Policy 167, art. no. 112907
2022
Multi-stage linear decision rules for stochastic control of natural gas networks with linepack
Electric Power Systems Research 212, art. no. 108388
2022
Forecasting: theory and practice
International Journal of Forecasting 38(3), pp. 705-871
2022
Editorial: Epidemics and forecasting with focus on COVID-19
International Journal of Forecasting 38(2), pp. 407-409
2022
Continuous and distribution-free probabilistic wind power forecasting: A conditional normalizing flow approach
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 13(4), pp. 2250-2263
2022
An asynchronous online negotiation mechanism for real-time peer-to-peer electricity markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 37(3), pp. 1868-1880
2022
A network-aware market mechanism for decentralized district heating systems
Applied Energy, art. no. 117956
2021
What do prosumer marginal utility functions look like? Derivation and analysis
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 36(5), pp. 4322-4330
2021
Transactive energy for flexible prosumers using algorithmic game theory
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 12(3), pp. 1571-1581
2021
Towards data markets in renewable energy forecasting
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 12(1), pp. 533-542
2021
Privacy-preserving distributed learning for renewable energy forecasting
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 12(3), pp. 1777-1787
2021
Price-region bids in electricity markets
European Journal of Operational Research 295(3), pp. 1056-1073
2021
Online optimization for real-time peer-to-peer electricity market mechanisms
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 12(5), pp. 4151-4163
2021
Online forecast reconciliation in wind power prediction
Electric Power Systems Research 190, art. no. 106637
2021
Online distributed learning in wind power forecasting
International Journal of Forecasting 37(1), pp. 205-223
2021
Monetizing customer load data for an energy retailer: A cooperative game approach
Proc. Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS) 2021
2021
Mechanism design for fair and efficient DSO flexibility markets
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 12(3), pp. 2249-2260
2021
Managing distributed flexibility under uncertainty by combining deep learning with duality
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 12(4), pp. 2195-2204
2021
Forecasting and market design advances
IEEE Power and Energy Magazine 19(6), pp. 75-85
2021
Energy and reserve dispatch with distributionally robust joint chance constraints
Operations Research Letters 49(3), pp. 291-299
2021
Electric demand response and bounded rationality – Mean-field control for large populations of heterogeneous bounded-rational agents
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 379(2202), art. no. 20190429
2021
Dynamic reserve and transmission capacity allocation in wind-dominated power systems
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 36(4), pp. 3017-3028
2021
2021
Coordination of power and natural gas markets via financial instruments
Computational Management Science 18, pp. 505-538
2021
Chance-constrained peer-to-peer joint energy and reserve market based on consensus ADMM
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 12(1), pp. 798-809
2021
Adaptive generalized logit-Normal distributions for wind power short-term forecasting
Proc. Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS) 2021
2021
A self-adaptive multikernel machine based on Recursive Least-Squares applied to very short-term wind power forecasting
IEEE Access 9, pp. 104761-104772
2021
A critical overview of privacy-preserving approaches for collaborative forecasting
International Journal of Forecasting 37(1), pp. 322-342
2021
Loss allocation in joint transmission and distribution peer-to-peer markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 36(3), pp. 1833-1842
2021
Differentially private optimal power flow for distribution grids
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 36(3), pp. 2186-2196
2020
Transactive energy based aggregation of prosumers as a retailer
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 11(4), pp. 3302-3312
2020
The future of forecasting for renewable energy
WIREs Energy and Environment 9(2), art. no. e365
2020
The ethical smart grid: Enabling a fruitful and long-lasting relationship between utilities and customers
Energy Policy 140, art. no. 111258
2020
Statistical post-processing of turbulence-resolving weather forecasts for offshore wind power forecasting
Wind Energy 23(4), pp. 884-897
2020
Market-based coordination for integrated electricity and natural gas systems under uncertain supply
European Journal of Operational Research 287(3), pp. 1105-1119
2020
Heterogeneous risk preferences in community-based electricity markets
European Journal of Operational Research 287(1), pp. 36-48
2020
Heat and electricity market coordination: A scalable complementarity approach
European Journal of Operational Research 283(3), pp. 1107-1123
2020
Evaluation of wind power forecasts – An up-to-date view
Wind Energy 23(6), pp. 1461-1481
2020
Energy forecasting: A review and outlook
IEEE Open Access Journal of Power and Energy 7, pp. 376-388
2020
2020
Do unit commitment constraints affect generation expansion planning? A scalable stochastic model
Energy Systems 11, pp. 247-282
2020
Distributionally robust chance-constrained generation expansion planning
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 35(4), pp. 2888-2903
2020
Demand side management of heat in smart homes: Living-lab experiments
Energy 195, art. no. 116993
2020
Chance-constrained optimal power flow with nonparametric probability distributions of dynamic line ratings
International Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems 114, art. no. 105389
2020
Big data analytics for future electricity grids
Electric Power Systems Research 189, art. no. 106788
2020
Affine policies for flexibility provision by natural gas networks to power systems
Electric Power Systems Research 189, art. no. 106565
2020
Added-value of ensemble prediction system on the quality of solar irradiance probabilistic forecasts
Renewable Energy 162, pp. 1321-1339
2020
A mid-term DSO market for capacity limits: How to estimate opportunity costs of aggregators?
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 11(1), pp. 334-345
2020
A local market mechanism for physical storage rights
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 35(4), pp. 3087-3099
2019
Verification of solar irradiance probabilistic forecasts
Solar Energy 194, pp. 254-271
2019
Trading wind power through physically settled options and short-term electricity markets
Wind Energy 22(11), pp. 1487-1499
2019
Temporal hierarchies with autocorrelation for load forecasting
European Journal of Operational Research 280(3), pp. 876-888
2019
Polyhedral predictive regions for power system applications
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 34(1), pp. 693-704
2019
Peer-to-peer and community-driven markets: a comprehensive review
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 104, pp. 367-378
2019
Optimal allocation of HVDC interconnections for exchange of energy and reserve capacity services
Energy Systems 10(3), pp. 635-675
2019
Online adaptive LASSO estimation in Vector Auto Regressive models for wind power forecasting in high dimension
International Journal of Forecasting 35(4), pp. 1485-1498
2019
Online adaptive clustering algorithm for load profiling
Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks 17, art. no. 100181
2019
Incentive-compatibility in a two-stage stochastic electricity market with high wind power penetration
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 34(4), pp. 2846-2858
2019
Guest editorial: Energy forecasting in the big data world
International Journal of Forecasting 35(4), pp. 1387-1388
2019
Forecast reconciliation in day-ahead wind power forecasting
Energies 12, art. no. 1112
2019
Exogenous approach to grid cost allocation in peer-to-peer electricity markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 34(4), pp. 2553-2564
2019
Energy Collectives: a community and fairness based approach to future electricity markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 34(5), pp. 3994-4004
2019
Electricity market equilibrium under information asymmetry
Operations Research Letters 47(6), pp. 521-526
2019
Convex relaxations and approximations of chance-constrained AC-OPF problems
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 34(2), pp. 1459-1470
2019
Consensus-based approach to peer-to-peer electricity markets with product differentiation
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 34(2), pp. 994-1004
2019
An integrated market for electricity and natural gas systems with stochastic power producers
European Journal of Operational Research 272(2), pp. 642-654
2018
2018
Stochastic market design with revenue adequacy and cost recovery by scenario: benefits and costs
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 33(4), pp. 3531-3545
2018
Real-time trading strategies of proactive DISCO with heterogeneous DG owners
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 9(3), pp. 1688-1697
2018
Real-time procurement strategies of a proactive distribution company with aggregator-based demand response
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 9(2), pp. 766-776
2018
Price-taker offering strategy in electricity pay-as-bid markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 33(2), pp. 2175-2183
2018
Prévision météorologique pour les énergies renouvelables
La Météorologie 100, pp. 1-8
2018
Evaluating price-based demand response in practice – With application to the EcoGrid EU experiment
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 9(3), pp. 2304-2313
2018
Ellipsoidal prediction regions for multivariate uncertainty characterization
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 33(4), pp. 4519-4530
2018
Cost-optimal ATCs in zonal electricity markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 33(4), pp. 3624-3633
2018
Correlation-constrained and sparsity-controlled vector autoregressive model for spatio-temporal wind power forecasting
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 33(5)
2018
Benefits of spatio-temporal modelling for short term wind power forecasting at both individual and aggregated levels
Environmetrics 29(3), art. no. e2493
2018
Bayesian approach to unveiling supply curves in electricity markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 33(3), pp. 2610-2620
2018
Active distribution grid management based on robust AC optimal power flow
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 9(6), pp. 6229-6241
2018
A local energy market for electricity and hydrogen
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 33(4), pp. 3898-3908
2017
Towards fully renewable energy systems – Experience and trends in Denmark
CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems 3(1), pp. 26-35
2017
The emergence of consumer-centric electricity markets
Distribution & Utilization 34(12), pp. 27-31 (in Chinese)
2017
Spatial models for probabilistic prediction of wind power with application to yearly average and high temporal resolution data
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 31(7), pp. 1615-1631
2017
RE-Europe: a large-scale dataset for a future renewable-energy based European power system
Scientific Data 4, art. no. 170175
2017
Optimal offering and operating strategy for a large wind-storage system as a price maker
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 32(6), pp. 4904-4913
2017
Optimal offering and allocation policies for wind power in energy and reserve markets
Wind Energy 20(11), pp. 1851-1870
2017
Impact of public aggregate wind forecasts on electricity market outcomes
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 8(4), pp. 1394-1405
2017
From demand response evaluation to forecasting – Methods and results from the EcoGrid EU experiment
Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks 10, pp. 75-83
2017
Decision-dependent stochastic generation expansion planning with large amounts of wind power
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 32(4), pp. 3015-3026
2017
Attribution mechanisms for ancillary service costs induced by variability in power delivery
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 32(3), pp. 1891-1901
2016
Very-short-term probabilistic wind power forecasts by sparse vector autoregression
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 7(2), pp. 763-770
2016
Very short-term nonparametric probabilistic forecasting of renewable energy generation – with application to solar energy
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 31(5), pp. 3850-3863
2016
Trading strategies for distribution company with stochastic distributed energy resources
Applied Energy 177, pp. 625-635
2016
Sharing wind power forecasts in electricity markets: A numerical analysis
Applied Energy 176, pp. 65-73
2016
Quantile forecast discrimination ability and value
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 141(693), pp. 3415-3424
2016
Probabilistic energy forecasting: Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2014 and beyond
International Journal of Forecasting 32(3), pp. 896-913
2016
Optimal offering strategies for wind power in energy and primary reserve markets
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 7(3), pp. 1036-1045
2016
Optimal offering for wind-storage systems using linear decision rules
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 31(6), pp. 5061-5070
2016
Optimal bidding strategy of battery storage in power markets considering performance based regulation and battery cycle life
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 7(5), pp. 2359-2367
2016
Introducing distributed learning in wind power forecasting
Proc. Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS) 2016
2016
Integrated bidding and operating strategies for wind farms enhanced with storage
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 7(1), pp. 163-172
2016
Information uncertainty in electricity markets: Introducing probabilistic offers
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 31(6), pp. 5202-5203
2016
Impact of inter- and intra-regional coordination in markets with a large renewable component
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 31(6), pp. 4755-4764
2016
Identifying and characterizing the impact of turbine icing on wind farm power generation
Wind Energy 19(8), pp. 1503-1518
2016
Generation of scenarios from calibrated ensemble forecasts with a dynamic ensemble copula coupling approach
Monthly Weather Review 144(12), pp. 4737-4750
2016
Generation and evaluation of space-time trajectories of photovoltaic generation
Applied Energy 176, pp. 80-91
2016
Economic dispatch of demand-side balancing through asymmetric block offers
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 31(4), pp. 2999-3007
2016
Adaptive robust polynomial regression for power curve modeling with application to wind power forecasting
Wind Energy 19(12), pp. 2321-2336
2016
A multi-period OPF model under renewable generation uncertainty and demand-side flexibility
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 7(3), pp. 1495-1503
2015
The "WIRE" benchmarking exercise on short-term forecasting models for renewable power generation
Energies 8(9), pp. 9594-9619
2015
Probabilistic maximum-value wind prediction for offshore environments
Wind Energy 18(10), pp. 1725-1738
2015
Offering strategies for hybrid concentrated solar-fossil power plants through robust optimization
International Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems 67, pp. 639-650
2015
Foreword for the special section on wind and solar energy: uncovering and accommodating their impacts on electricity markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 30(3), pp. 1557-1559
2015
Forecasting for dynamic line rating
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 52, pp. 1713-1730
2014
Weather radars – the new eyes of offshore wind farms
Wind Energy 17(11), pp. 1767-1787
2014
Redefining the merit order of stochastic generation in forward markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 29(2), pp. 992-993 (letter)
2014
Probabilistic forecasts of wind power generation accounting for geographically dispersed information
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 5(1), pp. 480-489
2014
Probabilistic forecasting of wind power generation using extreme learning machine
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 29(3), pp. 1033-1044
2014
Optimal prediction intervals of wind power generation
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 29(3), pp. 1166-1174
2014
Guest editorial: Special section on analytics for energy forecasting with applications to smart grid
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 5(1), pp. 399-401
2014
Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2012 (GEFCom2012)
International Journal of Forecasting 30(2), pp. 357-363
2014
FLECH – A Danish market solution for DSO congestion management through DER flexibility services
Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy 2(2), pp. 126-133
2014
Exponential smoothing approaches for prediction in real-time electricity markets
Energies 7(6), pp. 3710-3732
2014
Electricity market clearing with improved dispatch of stochastic producers
European Journal of Operational Research 235(3), pp. 765-774
2014
Early warnings of extreme winds utilising the ECMWF Extreme Forecast Index
Meteorological Applications 21(2), pp. 171-185
2014
Discussion of "Prediction intervals for short-term wind farm generation forecasts" and "Combined nonparametric prediction intervals for wind power generation"
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 5(3), pp. 1018-1019
2014
Density forecasting of day-ahead electricity prices using time-adaptive quantile regression
Energies 7(9), pp. 5523-5547
2014
2014
Benefits and challenges of electric demand response: A critical review
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 39, pp. 686-699
2014
Automatic classification of offshore wind regimes with weather radar observations
IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing 7(1), pp. 116-125
2013
Wind energy: Forecasting challenges for its optimal management
Statistical Science 28(4), pp. 564-585
2013
Trading wind energy on the basis of probabilistic forecasts of both wind generation and market quantities
Wind Energy 16(6), pp. 909-926
2013
The impact of wind power on European cross-border power flows
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 28(4), pp. 3566-3575
2013
Pool strategy of a price-maker wind power producer
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 28(3), pp. 3440-3450
2013
Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices accounting for the impact of wind power generation
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 4(1), pp. 210-218
2013
Direct interval forecasting of wind power
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 28(4), pp. 4877-4878 (letter)
2013
Controlling electricity consumption by forecasting its response to varying prices
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 28(1), pp. 421-429
2013
Chance-constrained optimization of demand response to price signals
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 4(4), pp. 2072-2080
2013
A comparison between the ECMWF and COSMO Ensemble Prediction Systems applied to short-term wind power forecasting
Applied Energy 107, pp. 271-280
2013
A bilevel model for electricity retailers' participation in a demand response market environment
Energy Economics 36, pp. 182-197
2012
Very short-term probabilistic forecasting of wind power with generalized logit-Normal distributions
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C 61(4), pp. 555-576
2012
Verification of the ECMWF ensemble forecasts of wind speed against analyses and observations
Meteorological Applications 19(4), pp. 484-500
2012
2012
Evaluating the quality of scenarios of short-term wind power generation
Applied Energy 96, pp. 12-20
2012
Adaptive modeling and forecasting of wind power fluctuations with Markov-switching autoregressive models
Journal of Forecasting 31(4), pp. 281-313
2012
Adaptive calibration of (u,v)-wind ensemble forecasts
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 138(666), pp. 1273-1284
2012
A transmission-cost-based model to estimate the amount of market-integrable wind resources
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 27(2), pp. 1060-1069
2012
A general probabilistic forecasting framework for offshore wind power fluctuations
Energies 5(3), pp. 621-657
2011
Wind fluctuations over the North Sea
International Journal of Climatology 31(11), pp. 1584-1595
2011
Spatio-temporal analysis and modeling of wind power forecast errors
Wind Energy 14(1), pp. 43-60
2011
Influence of local wind speed and direction on wind power dynamics – Application to offshore very short-term prediction
Applied Energy 88(11), pp. 4087-4096
2011
Forecasting ocean waves – The ECMWF wave model and time-series methods
Ocean Engineering 38(10), pp. 1089-1099
2010
Resolving non-stationary spectral signals in wind speed time-series using the Hilbert-Huang transform
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 49(2), pp. 253-267
2010
Reliability diagrams for nonparametric density forecasts of continuous variables: accounting for serial correlation
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 136(646), pp. 77-90
2010
2010
Feedback, competition and stochasticity in a day-ahead electricity market
Energy Economics 32(2), pp. 292-301
2010
Conditional weighted combination of wind power forecasts
Wind Energy 13(8), pp. 751-763
2010
Conditional prediction intervals of wind power generation
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 25(4), pp. 1845-1856
2009
Temperature prediction at critical points in district heating systems
European Journal of Operational Research 194(1), pp. 163-176
2009
Skill forecasting from ensemble predictions of wind power
Applied Energy 86(7-8), pp. 1326-1334
2009
From probabilistic forecasts to statistical scenarios of short-term wind power production
Wind Energy 12(1), pp. 51-62
2009
2008
Regime-switching modelling of the fluctuations of offshore wind generation
Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics 96(12), pp. 2327-2347
2008
Probabilistic tools for planning and operating power systems with distributed energy storage
e&i Elektrotechnik und Informationstechnik 125(12), pp. 460-465
2008
Modelling of power fluctuations from large offshore wind farms
Wind Energy 11(1), pp. 29-43
2008
Local linear regression with adaptive orthogonal fitting for the wind power application
Statistics and Computing 18(1), pp. 59-71
2007
ViLab: a Virtual Laboratory for collaborative research on wind power forecasting
Wind Engineering 31(2), pp. 117-121
2007
Trading wind generation with short-term probabilistic forecasts of wind power
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 22(3), pp. 1148-1156
2007
Nonparametric probabilistic forecasts of wind power: required properties and evaluation
Wind Energy 10(6), pp. 497-516
2005
Standardizing the performance evaluation of short-term wind power prediction models
Wind Engineering 29(6), pp. 475-489
2004
On-line assessment of prediction risk for wind power production forecasts
Wind Energy 7(2), pp. 119-132
2026
From intraday orderbook to imbalance price: Understanding cross-market interaction
Preprint (arXiv:2609.37903)
Open preprint Preprint
2026
Learning to fix: Optimisation-aware machine learning for accelerated unit commitment
Preprint (arXiv:2609.39396)
Open preprint Preprint
2026
Stabilizing distribution-free probabilistic forecasts
Preprint (arXiv:2605.28531)
Open preprint Preprint
2026
Towards replication-robust analytics markets
INFORMS Journal on Data Science, in press
Publisher page Open preprint In press
2026
How to purchase labels? A cost-effective approach using active learning markets
INFORMS Journal on Data Science, in press
Open preprint In press
2026
Value-oriented forecast reconciliation for renewables in electricity markets
European Journal of Operational Research 332(2), pp. 492-504
2025
Synergies between AI computing and power systems: Metrics, scheduling, and resilience
IEEE Energy Sustainability Magazine, in press
In press
2025
Seamless and multi-resolution energy forecasting
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 16(1), pp. 383-395
2025
Privacy-aware data acquisition under data similarity in regression markets
IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems
2025
2025
Predict-and-optimize robust unit commitment with statistical guarantees via weight combination
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, in press
Publisher page In press
2025
Pooling probabilistic forecasts for cooperative wind power offering
Preprint, under review
Open preprint Preprint
2025
Load forecasting model trading: A cost-oriented and auction-based approach
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, in press
In press
2025
Inverse game theory: An incenter-based approach
34th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI 2025), pp. 3805-3813
2025
Integrated optimization of operations and capacity planning under uncertainty for drayage procurement in container logistics
Preprint, under review
Preprint
2025
How long is long enough? Finite-horizon approximation of energy storage scheduling problems
Preprint, under review
Open preprint Preprint
2025
Generalizable simulation framework for the request-to-order process in the procurement of onboard vessel requisitions
Preprint, under review
Preprint
2025
Fairness by design in shared-energy allocation problems
Computational Management Science, in press
In press
2025
2025
Data are missing again -- Reconstruction of power generation data using k-Nearest Neighbors and spectral graph theory
Wind Energy 28(1), art. no. 2962
2025
A negotiation-based incentive mechanism for efficient transmission expansion planning considering generation investment equilibrium in deregulated environment
Applied Energy, in press
In press
2025
A causal analysis of balancing costs in the UK electricity market
Preprint, under review
Preprint
2024
Wind energy forecasting with missing values within a fully conditional specification framework
International Journal of Forecasting 40(1), pp. 77-95
2024
Strategic coalition for data pricing in IoT data markets
IEEE Internet of Things Journal 11(4), pp. 6454-6468
2024
Robust generation dispatch with purchase of renewable power and load predictions
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 15(3), pp. 1486-1501
2024
On tracking varying bounds when forecasting bounded time series
Technometrics 66(4), pp. 651-661
2024
On the efficiency of energy markets with non-merchant storage
Energy Systems, in press
Open preprint In press
2024
Data-driven at sea: Forecasting and revenue management at Molslinjen
INFORMS Journal on Applied Analytics (invited; INFORMS Edelman Award 2024 winner)
2024
CRPS-based online learning for nonlinear probabilistic forecast combination
International Journal of Forecasting 40(4), pp. 1449-1466
2024
Convolutional encoding and normalizing flows: a deep learning approach for offshore wind speed probabilistic forecasting in the Mediterranean Sea
Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems 3(3)
2024
2024
A market for trading forecasts: A wagering mechanism
International Journal of Forecasting 40(1), pp. 142-159
2023
What may future electricity markets look like?
Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy 11(3), pp. 698-706 (invited)
2023
Privacy-preserving convex optimization: When differential privacy meets stochastic programming
Preprint, under review
Open preprint Preprint
2023
P2P market coordination methodologies with distribution grid management
Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks 34, art. no. 101075
2023
Online decision-making for trading wind energy
Computational Management Science 20, art. no. 33
2023
2023
On machine learning-based techniques for future sustainable and resilient energy systems
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 14(2), pp. 1230-1243
2023
Moving from linear to conic markets for electricity
European Journal of Operational Research 309(2), pp. 762-783
2023
Fair and scalable electric vehicle charging under electrical grid constraints
IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems 24(12), pp. 15169-15177
2023
Distributionally robust trading strategies for renewable energy producers
IEEE Transactions on Energy Markets, Policy and Regulation 1(1), pp. 37-47
2023
Chance-constrained economic dispatch of generic energy storage under decision-dependent uncertainty
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 14(4), pp. 2234-2248
2022
Variable heat pricing to steer the flexibility of heat demand response in district heating systems
Electric Power Systems Research 212, art. no. 108383
2022
Trading data for wind power forecasting: A regression market with Lasso regularization
Electric Power Systems Research 212, art. no. 108442
2022
To share or not to share? Alternative views on a future of collaborative forecasting
Foresight 67, pp. 8-15
2022
Stochastic control and pricing for natural gas networks
IEEE Transactions on Control of Network Systems 9(1), pp. 450-462
2022
Reliability-aware probabilistic reserve procurement
Electric Power Systems Research 212, art. no. 108345
2022
2022
Pandemics and forecasting: The way forward through the Taleb-Ioannidis debate
International Journal of Forecasting 38(2), pp. 410-412
2022
North Sea energy islands: Impact on national markets and grids
Energy Policy 167, art. no. 112907
2022
Multi-stage linear decision rules for stochastic control of natural gas networks with linepack
Electric Power Systems Research 212, art. no. 108388
2022
Forecasting: theory and practice
International Journal of Forecasting 38(3), pp. 705-871
2022
Editorial: Epidemics and forecasting with focus on COVID-19
International Journal of Forecasting 38(2), pp. 407-409
2022
Continuous and distribution-free probabilistic wind power forecasting: A conditional normalizing flow approach
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 13(4), pp. 2250-2263
2022
An asynchronous online negotiation mechanism for real-time peer-to-peer electricity markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 37(3), pp. 1868-1880
2022
A network-aware market mechanism for decentralized district heating systems
Applied Energy, art. no. 117956
2021
What do prosumer marginal utility functions look like? Derivation and analysis
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 36(5), pp. 4322-4330
2021
Transactive energy for flexible prosumers using algorithmic game theory
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 12(3), pp. 1571-1581
2021
Towards data markets in renewable energy forecasting
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 12(1), pp. 533-542
2021
Privacy-preserving distributed learning for renewable energy forecasting
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 12(3), pp. 1777-1787
2021
Price-region bids in electricity markets
European Journal of Operational Research 295(3), pp. 1056-1073
2021
Online optimization for real-time peer-to-peer electricity market mechanisms
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 12(5), pp. 4151-4163
2021
Online forecast reconciliation in wind power prediction
Electric Power Systems Research 190, art. no. 106637
2021
Online distributed learning in wind power forecasting
International Journal of Forecasting 37(1), pp. 205-223
2021
Monetizing customer load data for an energy retailer: A cooperative game approach
Proc. Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS) 2021
2021
Mechanism design for fair and efficient DSO flexibility markets
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 12(3), pp. 2249-2260
2021
Managing distributed flexibility under uncertainty by combining deep learning with duality
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 12(4), pp. 2195-2204
2021
Forecasting and market design advances
IEEE Power and Energy Magazine 19(6), pp. 75-85
2021
Energy and reserve dispatch with distributionally robust joint chance constraints
Operations Research Letters 49(3), pp. 291-299
2021
Electric demand response and bounded rationality – Mean-field control for large populations of heterogeneous bounded-rational agents
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 379(2202), art. no. 20190429
2021
Dynamic reserve and transmission capacity allocation in wind-dominated power systems
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 36(4), pp. 3017-3028
2021
2021
Coordination of power and natural gas markets via financial instruments
Computational Management Science 18, pp. 505-538
2021
Chance-constrained peer-to-peer joint energy and reserve market based on consensus ADMM
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 12(1), pp. 798-809
2021
Adaptive generalized logit-Normal distributions for wind power short-term forecasting
Proc. Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS) 2021
2021
A self-adaptive multikernel machine based on Recursive Least-Squares applied to very short-term wind power forecasting
IEEE Access 9, pp. 104761-104772
2021
A critical overview of privacy-preserving approaches for collaborative forecasting
International Journal of Forecasting 37(1), pp. 322-342
2021
Loss allocation in joint transmission and distribution peer-to-peer markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 36(3), pp. 1833-1842
2021
Differentially private optimal power flow for distribution grids
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 36(3), pp. 2186-2196
2020
Transactive energy based aggregation of prosumers as a retailer
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 11(4), pp. 3302-3312
2020
The future of forecasting for renewable energy
WIREs Energy and Environment 9(2), art. no. e365
2020
The ethical smart grid: Enabling a fruitful and long-lasting relationship between utilities and customers
Energy Policy 140, art. no. 111258
2020
Statistical post-processing of turbulence-resolving weather forecasts for offshore wind power forecasting
Wind Energy 23(4), pp. 884-897
2020
Market-based coordination for integrated electricity and natural gas systems under uncertain supply
European Journal of Operational Research 287(3), pp. 1105-1119
2020
Heterogeneous risk preferences in community-based electricity markets
European Journal of Operational Research 287(1), pp. 36-48
2020
Heat and electricity market coordination: A scalable complementarity approach
European Journal of Operational Research 283(3), pp. 1107-1123
2020
Evaluation of wind power forecasts – An up-to-date view
Wind Energy 23(6), pp. 1461-1481
2020
Energy forecasting: A review and outlook
IEEE Open Access Journal of Power and Energy 7, pp. 376-388
2020
2020
Do unit commitment constraints affect generation expansion planning? A scalable stochastic model
Energy Systems 11, pp. 247-282
2020
Distributionally robust chance-constrained generation expansion planning
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 35(4), pp. 2888-2903
2020
Demand side management of heat in smart homes: Living-lab experiments
Energy 195, art. no. 116993
2020
Chance-constrained optimal power flow with nonparametric probability distributions of dynamic line ratings
International Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems 114, art. no. 105389
2020
Big data analytics for future electricity grids
Electric Power Systems Research 189, art. no. 106788
2020
Affine policies for flexibility provision by natural gas networks to power systems
Electric Power Systems Research 189, art. no. 106565
2020
Added-value of ensemble prediction system on the quality of solar irradiance probabilistic forecasts
Renewable Energy 162, pp. 1321-1339
2020
A mid-term DSO market for capacity limits: How to estimate opportunity costs of aggregators?
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 11(1), pp. 334-345
2020
A local market mechanism for physical storage rights
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 35(4), pp. 3087-3099
2019
Verification of solar irradiance probabilistic forecasts
Solar Energy 194, pp. 254-271
2019
Trading wind power through physically settled options and short-term electricity markets
Wind Energy 22(11), pp. 1487-1499
2019
Temporal hierarchies with autocorrelation for load forecasting
European Journal of Operational Research 280(3), pp. 876-888
2019
Polyhedral predictive regions for power system applications
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 34(1), pp. 693-704
2019
Peer-to-peer and community-driven markets: a comprehensive review
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 104, pp. 367-378
2019
Optimal allocation of HVDC interconnections for exchange of energy and reserve capacity services
Energy Systems 10(3), pp. 635-675
2019
Online adaptive LASSO estimation in Vector Auto Regressive models for wind power forecasting in high dimension
International Journal of Forecasting 35(4), pp. 1485-1498
2019
Online adaptive clustering algorithm for load profiling
Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks 17, art. no. 100181
2019
Incentive-compatibility in a two-stage stochastic electricity market with high wind power penetration
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 34(4), pp. 2846-2858
2019
Guest editorial: Energy forecasting in the big data world
International Journal of Forecasting 35(4), pp. 1387-1388
2019
Forecast reconciliation in day-ahead wind power forecasting
Energies 12, art. no. 1112
2019
Exogenous approach to grid cost allocation in peer-to-peer electricity markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 34(4), pp. 2553-2564
2019
Energy Collectives: a community and fairness based approach to future electricity markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 34(5), pp. 3994-4004
2019
Electricity market equilibrium under information asymmetry
Operations Research Letters 47(6), pp. 521-526
2019
Convex relaxations and approximations of chance-constrained AC-OPF problems
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 34(2), pp. 1459-1470
2019
Consensus-based approach to peer-to-peer electricity markets with product differentiation
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 34(2), pp. 994-1004
2019
An integrated market for electricity and natural gas systems with stochastic power producers
European Journal of Operational Research 272(2), pp. 642-654
2018
2018
Stochastic market design with revenue adequacy and cost recovery by scenario: benefits and costs
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 33(4), pp. 3531-3545
2018
Real-time trading strategies of proactive DISCO with heterogeneous DG owners
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 9(3), pp. 1688-1697
2018
Real-time procurement strategies of a proactive distribution company with aggregator-based demand response
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 9(2), pp. 766-776
2018
Price-taker offering strategy in electricity pay-as-bid markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 33(2), pp. 2175-2183
2018
Prévision météorologique pour les énergies renouvelables
La Météorologie 100, pp. 1-8
2018
Evaluating price-based demand response in practice – With application to the EcoGrid EU experiment
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 9(3), pp. 2304-2313
2018
Ellipsoidal prediction regions for multivariate uncertainty characterization
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 33(4), pp. 4519-4530
2018
Cost-optimal ATCs in zonal electricity markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 33(4), pp. 3624-3633
2018
Correlation-constrained and sparsity-controlled vector autoregressive model for spatio-temporal wind power forecasting
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 33(5)
2018
Benefits of spatio-temporal modelling for short term wind power forecasting at both individual and aggregated levels
Environmetrics 29(3), art. no. e2493
2018
Bayesian approach to unveiling supply curves in electricity markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 33(3), pp. 2610-2620
2018
Active distribution grid management based on robust AC optimal power flow
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 9(6), pp. 6229-6241
2018
A local energy market for electricity and hydrogen
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 33(4), pp. 3898-3908
2017
Towards fully renewable energy systems – Experience and trends in Denmark
CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems 3(1), pp. 26-35
2017
The emergence of consumer-centric electricity markets
Distribution & Utilization 34(12), pp. 27-31 (in Chinese)
2017
Spatial models for probabilistic prediction of wind power with application to yearly average and high temporal resolution data
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 31(7), pp. 1615-1631
2017
RE-Europe: a large-scale dataset for a future renewable-energy based European power system
Scientific Data 4, art. no. 170175
2017
Optimal offering and operating strategy for a large wind-storage system as a price maker
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 32(6), pp. 4904-4913
2017
Optimal offering and allocation policies for wind power in energy and reserve markets
Wind Energy 20(11), pp. 1851-1870
2017
Impact of public aggregate wind forecasts on electricity market outcomes
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 8(4), pp. 1394-1405
2017
From demand response evaluation to forecasting – Methods and results from the EcoGrid EU experiment
Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks 10, pp. 75-83
2017
Decision-dependent stochastic generation expansion planning with large amounts of wind power
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 32(4), pp. 3015-3026
2017
Attribution mechanisms for ancillary service costs induced by variability in power delivery
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 32(3), pp. 1891-1901
2016
Very-short-term probabilistic wind power forecasts by sparse vector autoregression
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 7(2), pp. 763-770
2016
Very short-term nonparametric probabilistic forecasting of renewable energy generation – with application to solar energy
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 31(5), pp. 3850-3863
2016
Trading strategies for distribution company with stochastic distributed energy resources
Applied Energy 177, pp. 625-635
2016
Sharing wind power forecasts in electricity markets: A numerical analysis
Applied Energy 176, pp. 65-73
2016
Quantile forecast discrimination ability and value
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 141(693), pp. 3415-3424
2016
Probabilistic energy forecasting: Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2014 and beyond
International Journal of Forecasting 32(3), pp. 896-913
2016
Optimal offering strategies for wind power in energy and primary reserve markets
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 7(3), pp. 1036-1045
2016
Optimal offering for wind-storage systems using linear decision rules
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 31(6), pp. 5061-5070
2016
Optimal bidding strategy of battery storage in power markets considering performance based regulation and battery cycle life
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 7(5), pp. 2359-2367
2016
Introducing distributed learning in wind power forecasting
Proc. Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS) 2016
2016
Integrated bidding and operating strategies for wind farms enhanced with storage
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 7(1), pp. 163-172
2016
Information uncertainty in electricity markets: Introducing probabilistic offers
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 31(6), pp. 5202-5203
2016
Impact of inter- and intra-regional coordination in markets with a large renewable component
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 31(6), pp. 4755-4764
2016
Identifying and characterizing the impact of turbine icing on wind farm power generation
Wind Energy 19(8), pp. 1503-1518
2016
Generation of scenarios from calibrated ensemble forecasts with a dynamic ensemble copula coupling approach
Monthly Weather Review 144(12), pp. 4737-4750
2016
Generation and evaluation of space-time trajectories of photovoltaic generation
Applied Energy 176, pp. 80-91
2016
Economic dispatch of demand-side balancing through asymmetric block offers
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 31(4), pp. 2999-3007
2016
Adaptive robust polynomial regression for power curve modeling with application to wind power forecasting
Wind Energy 19(12), pp. 2321-2336
2016
A multi-period OPF model under renewable generation uncertainty and demand-side flexibility
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 7(3), pp. 1495-1503
2015
The "WIRE" benchmarking exercise on short-term forecasting models for renewable power generation
Energies 8(9), pp. 9594-9619
2015
Probabilistic maximum-value wind prediction for offshore environments
Wind Energy 18(10), pp. 1725-1738
2015
Offering strategies for hybrid concentrated solar-fossil power plants through robust optimization
International Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems 67, pp. 639-650
2015
Foreword for the special section on wind and solar energy: uncovering and accommodating their impacts on electricity markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 30(3), pp. 1557-1559
2015
Forecasting for dynamic line rating
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 52, pp. 1713-1730
2014
Weather radars – the new eyes of offshore wind farms
Wind Energy 17(11), pp. 1767-1787
2014
Redefining the merit order of stochastic generation in forward markets
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 29(2), pp. 992-993 (letter)
2014
Probabilistic forecasts of wind power generation accounting for geographically dispersed information
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 5(1), pp. 480-489
2014
Probabilistic forecasting of wind power generation using extreme learning machine
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 29(3), pp. 1033-1044
2014
Optimal prediction intervals of wind power generation
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 29(3), pp. 1166-1174
2014
Guest editorial: Special section on analytics for energy forecasting with applications to smart grid
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 5(1), pp. 399-401
2014
Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2012 (GEFCom2012)
International Journal of Forecasting 30(2), pp. 357-363
2014
FLECH – A Danish market solution for DSO congestion management through DER flexibility services
Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy 2(2), pp. 126-133
2014
Exponential smoothing approaches for prediction in real-time electricity markets
Energies 7(6), pp. 3710-3732
2014
Electricity market clearing with improved dispatch of stochastic producers
European Journal of Operational Research 235(3), pp. 765-774
2014
Early warnings of extreme winds utilising the ECMWF Extreme Forecast Index
Meteorological Applications 21(2), pp. 171-185
2014
Discussion of "Prediction intervals for short-term wind farm generation forecasts" and "Combined nonparametric prediction intervals for wind power generation"
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 5(3), pp. 1018-1019
2014
Density forecasting of day-ahead electricity prices using time-adaptive quantile regression
Energies 7(9), pp. 5523-5547
2014
2014
Benefits and challenges of electric demand response: A critical review
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 39, pp. 686-699
2014
Automatic classification of offshore wind regimes with weather radar observations
IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing 7(1), pp. 116-125
2013
Wind energy: Forecasting challenges for its optimal management
Statistical Science 28(4), pp. 564-585
2013
Trading wind energy on the basis of probabilistic forecasts of both wind generation and market quantities
Wind Energy 16(6), pp. 909-926
2013
The impact of wind power on European cross-border power flows
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 28(4), pp. 3566-3575
2013
Pool strategy of a price-maker wind power producer
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 28(3), pp. 3440-3450
2013
Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices accounting for the impact of wind power generation
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy 4(1), pp. 210-218
2013
Direct interval forecasting of wind power
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 28(4), pp. 4877-4878 (letter)
2013
Controlling electricity consumption by forecasting its response to varying prices
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 28(1), pp. 421-429
2013
Chance-constrained optimization of demand response to price signals
IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid 4(4), pp. 2072-2080
2013
A comparison between the ECMWF and COSMO Ensemble Prediction Systems applied to short-term wind power forecasting
Applied Energy 107, pp. 271-280
2013
A bilevel model for electricity retailers' participation in a demand response market environment
Energy Economics 36, pp. 182-197
2012
Very short-term probabilistic forecasting of wind power with generalized logit-Normal distributions
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C 61(4), pp. 555-576
2012
Verification of the ECMWF ensemble forecasts of wind speed against analyses and observations
Meteorological Applications 19(4), pp. 484-500
2012
2012
Evaluating the quality of scenarios of short-term wind power generation
Applied Energy 96, pp. 12-20
2012
Adaptive modeling and forecasting of wind power fluctuations with Markov-switching autoregressive models
Journal of Forecasting 31(4), pp. 281-313
2012
Adaptive calibration of (u,v)-wind ensemble forecasts
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 138(666), pp. 1273-1284
2012
A transmission-cost-based model to estimate the amount of market-integrable wind resources
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 27(2), pp. 1060-1069
2012
A general probabilistic forecasting framework for offshore wind power fluctuations
Energies 5(3), pp. 621-657
2011
Wind fluctuations over the North Sea
International Journal of Climatology 31(11), pp. 1584-1595
2011
Spatio-temporal analysis and modeling of wind power forecast errors
Wind Energy 14(1), pp. 43-60
2011
Influence of local wind speed and direction on wind power dynamics – Application to offshore very short-term prediction
Applied Energy 88(11), pp. 4087-4096
2011
Forecasting ocean waves – The ECMWF wave model and time-series methods
Ocean Engineering 38(10), pp. 1089-1099
2010
Resolving non-stationary spectral signals in wind speed time-series using the Hilbert-Huang transform
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 49(2), pp. 253-267
2010
Reliability diagrams for nonparametric density forecasts of continuous variables: accounting for serial correlation
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 136(646), pp. 77-90
2010
2010
Feedback, competition and stochasticity in a day-ahead electricity market
Energy Economics 32(2), pp. 292-301
2010
Conditional weighted combination of wind power forecasts
Wind Energy 13(8), pp. 751-763
2010
Conditional prediction intervals of wind power generation
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 25(4), pp. 1845-1856
2009
Temperature prediction at critical points in district heating systems
European Journal of Operational Research 194(1), pp. 163-176
2009
Skill forecasting from ensemble predictions of wind power
Applied Energy 86(7-8), pp. 1326-1334
2009
From probabilistic forecasts to statistical scenarios of short-term wind power production
Wind Energy 12(1), pp. 51-62
2009
2008
Regime-switching modelling of the fluctuations of offshore wind generation
Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics 96(12), pp. 2327-2347
2008
Probabilistic tools for planning and operating power systems with distributed energy storage
e&i Elektrotechnik und Informationstechnik 125(12), pp. 460-465
2008
Modelling of power fluctuations from large offshore wind farms
Wind Energy 11(1), pp. 29-43
2008
Local linear regression with adaptive orthogonal fitting for the wind power application
Statistics and Computing 18(1), pp. 59-71
2007
ViLab: a Virtual Laboratory for collaborative research on wind power forecasting
Wind Engineering 31(2), pp. 117-121
2007
Trading wind generation with short-term probabilistic forecasts of wind power
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 22(3), pp. 1148-1156
2007
Nonparametric probabilistic forecasts of wind power: required properties and evaluation
Wind Energy 10(6), pp. 497-516
2005
Standardizing the performance evaluation of short-term wind power prediction models
Wind Engineering 29(6), pp. 475-489
2004
On-line assessment of prediction risk for wind power production forecasts
Wind Energy 7(2), pp. 119-132
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